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Recovery in Slow Motion on the Interior Doors Market

The decline in the market for interior doors in Europe (Germany, France, Italy, Great Britain) will amount to 9.7% in value this year due to the corona crisis. Even if the market recovers slightly in 2021, it will still take some time until the market volume in Europe has returned to ist previous 2019- level, as shown in a study by Interconnection Consulting.

 

Germany is Recovering Fastest

From today’s perspective, only the German market will have a larger market volume in 2023 than in 2019. However, even in the largest Western European market for interior doors in 2020, a big loss in value of 6.4% is to be expected. While the crash is set to slow down in Germany in 2021, the decline will intensify again in France and Great Britain in 2021 and will then be in the double digits in both countries. Italy is the country that has been hit hardest by the crisis. This year and next year, the industry is forecast to crash by 22.7% and 22.5%, respectively.

 

Structural Change

The market for interior doors was already under pressure before the COVID 19 crisis. The market volume stagnated between 2015 and 2019. A slower recovery on the door market is therefore not only due to the fact that building completions are being delayed, but also because interior tastes have changed. “Other room partitioning systems are gaining more popularity and are therefore reducing the number of doors per apartment unit,” says Jan Hudak, the author of the study. Interior doors are however used in contract construction- for example in the office segment, where an increase in demand for interior doors is expected in response to the COVID-19 crisis, as more separation of employees is required. This will increase the proportion of non-residential construction, which currently makes up less than a third.

 

Regionality is Very Popular

At regional level on the market, large national producers face smaller, regional suppliers, who can often respond better to customer requests and provide better regional delivery management. Therefore, the market is nowhere near as internationalized compared to other industries, such as the window market. The main companies are Jeld-Wen, Keyor, Theuma, Premdor, Sapeli, Prüm-Garant, WESTAG & GETALIT, Garofoli.

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Difficult Years Ahead for Fire Rated Doors

After a very promising start to the new year, the fire door industry in Western Europe experienced a major slump. In the first quarter of 2020, the market fell by 11.5 percent in value compared to 2019. For the full year, Interconnection Consulting expects a decline of 5.6% compared to the previous year. The market level of 2019 is not expected to be reached again until 2023.

Italy, Denmark and Sweden Will See Double-Digit Declines

In Germany, the largest market for fire rated doors in Europe, a decline of 7.4% is expected for the year as a whole, caused in large parts by the strong declines in non-residential construction. One of the strongest slumps in the EU is currently forecast for Italy (-10.1%), while the fire rated door market in the Benelux countries and Great Britain will lose 8.7% and 7.6% respectively. Scandinavia is also hard hit by the crisis and will lose a total of 9.6%, with the decline in Denmark and Sweden likely to be in the double digits.

Great Expectations for EN16034

The market has high expectations for the introduction of new standards for the harmonisation of directives within the EU and Turkey in order to guarantee fair conditions for the manufacturers. However, these changes, which came into force in November 2019, only affected exterior doors and sliding doors. “The outer doors in particular affect only a slight proportion of all fire rated doors and therefore the effects on price harmonisation are not yet as strong as desired,” explains Jan Hudak, the author of the study. However, this is one of the big goals to narrow the big price differences in different countries. Therefore, in the future, wooden doors with fire resistance of 90 and 120 minutes will dominate at the upper end of the price scale, while steel doors will remain dominant at the lower end of the resistance scale (30 min and 60 min).

Gloomy Outlook

The fall in demand in the first half of 2020 will be somewhat weakened from September due to the building permits already issued – which total around 3 billion euros. The two-digit decline figures that are expected by summer can thus be partially offset. Nevertheless, the gradual easing of measures to curb COVID-19 will only partially lead to recovery. The market for fire rated doors will not fully recover from the crisis until 2022.

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Scandinavian Business Seating

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